UFC FIGHT NIGHT 120 PREDICTIONS 11/11: Grocke’s updated odds and predictions for every fight


The UFC will follow up arguably their best event of the year last week with UFC Fight Night 120. The event takes place at the Ted Constant Convocation Center in Norfolk, Virginia. The main event takes place in the lightweight division where Dustin Poirier takes on former champion Anthony Pettis.

Poirier is 5-1 in his last six with one no-contest. The no-contest occurred at his most recent fight against Eddie Alvarez at UFC 211. Poirier struck Alvarez in the head with a knee when he had a hand on the mat. Alvarez was unable to continue after the knee so the official decision was a no-contest due to an accidental knee to a downed fighter.

After losing three fights in a row, Anthony Pettis is 2-1 over his last three bouts. His most recent fight was against Jim Miller at UFC 213 where he won by unanimous decision. This is a big fight for Pettis as he looks to get himself back on track in the lightweight division.

The co-main event features long time UFC veteran Matt Brown in what will be his last fight before hanging up the gloves. His final fight is against fellow UFC vet Diego Sanchez. This will be Brown’s thirty-seventh walk and Sanchez’s thirty-eighth. Brown has fallen on hard times of late, losing his last three fights in a row. He will look to walk out of the UFC cage for the final time with a victory. However, it won’t be easy against Sanchez who is 2-2 over his four.

The main card rounds out with Junior Albini taking on veteran Andrei Arlovski who makes the walk for the forty-first time, Nate Marquardt vs. Cezar Ferreira, Raphael Assuncao vs. Matthew Lopez and fan favorites Joe Lauzon vs. Clay Guida.

The early prelims will air on Fight Pass starting at 5:30 PM CT, with Fox Sports 1 taking over at 7 PM CT for the prelims. Keep it on FS1 for the main card starting at 9 PM CT.

Be sure to check out the MMA Talk for Pro Wrestling Fans podcast where I host every Monday at 6PM CT at pwtorchlivecast.com. You can also read my columns right here at MMATorch.

Here are the current odds and my predictions for each fight.

Note: The predictions in this column do not necessarily mean that I will be betting them. I have changed my mind in the past and gone the other way after conducting more research. For all of my official bets follow me on Twitter @FightChampBlog. You can also find all of my official MMA bets at betmmatips.com. For more information on my MMA bets go to thefightingchampion.com.


Main Card

Dustin Poirier (21-5, 1 NC) vs. Anthony Pettis (20-6) – Lightweight 155 lbs.

Current Odds: Pettis -125; Poirier -105

Pick: Pettis by decision


Matt Brown (22-16) vs. Diego Sanchez (29-10) – Welterweight 170 lbs.

Current Odds: Brown -365; Sanchez +285

Pick: Brown by TKO


Junior Albini (14-2) vs. Andrei Arlovski (25-15, 1 NC) – Heavyweight 265 lbs.

Current Odds: Albini -325; Alovski +255

Pick: Albini by TKO


Nate Marquardt (38-18-2) vs. Cezar Ferreira (12-6) – Middleweight 185 lbs.

Current Odds: Ferreira -280; Marquardt +220

Pick: Ferreira by decision


Raphael Assuncao (25-5) vs. Matthew Lopez (10-1) – Bantamweight 135 lbs.

Current Odds: Assuncao -365; Lopez +285

Pick: Assuncao by decision


Joe Lauzon (27-14) vs. Clay Guida (33-14) – Lightweight 155 lbs.

Current Odds: Guida -125; Lauzon -105

Pick: Guida by decision



John Dobson (20-8) vs. Marlon Moraes (18-5-1) – Bantamweight 135 lbs.

Current Odds: Dobson -120; Moraes -110

Pick: Moraes by decision


Tatiana Suarez (5-0) vs. Viviane Pereira (13-0) – Strawweight 115 lbs.

Current Odds: Suarez -300; Pereira +240

Pick: Suarez by TKO


Sage Northcutt (8-2) vs. Michel Quinones (8-2) – Lightweight 155 lbs.

Current Odds: Northcutt – -175; Quinones +145

Pick: Quinones by Submission


Angela Hill (7-3) vs. Nina Ansaroff (7-5) – Strawweight 115 lbs.

Current Odds: Hill -185; Ansaroff +155

Pick: Hill by decision


Early Prelims

Court McGee (19-6) vs. Sean Strickland (18-2) – Welterweight 170 lbs.

Current Odds: Strickland -305; McGee +245

Pick: Strickland by TKO


Jake Collier (10-4) vs. Marcel Fortuna (9-2) – Light Heavyweight 205 lbs.

Current Odds: Fortuna -250; Collier +200

Pick: Fortna by TKO


Darren Stewart (7-1, 1 NC) vs. Karl Roberson (5-0) – Middleweight 185 lbs.

Current Odds: Roberson -225; Stewart +175

Pick: Roberson by decision

Enjoy the fights!

NOW CHECK OUT THIS ARTICLE: UFC FIGHT NIGHT 120: Harris’s preview & predictions for the Poirier vs. Pettis headlined main card

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