UFC SAN ANTONIO PREVIEW & PREDICTIONS 7/20: Grocke’s updated odds & predictions for every fight

MICHAEL GROCKE, MMATORCH FIGHT HANDICAPPER

UFC San Antonio

UFC San Antonio odds and predictions.


The Ultimate Fighting Championship makes its way to the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas for UFC on ESPN 4 on Saturday night. The main event takes place in the welterweight division where Rafael dos Anjos takes on Leon Edwards.

After dropping two fights in a row, Rafael dos Anjos got back in the win column when he beat Kevin Lee at UFC Fight Night 152 via submission. The former UFC lightweight champion will make the walk for the forty-first time when he steps into the octagon opposite Leon Edwards on Saturday night. The thirty-four-year-old the Brazilian born fighter has ten wins via submission and five by (T)KO in his twenty-nine career victories.

Leon Edwards enter his fight against RDA riding a seven-fight win streak. His most recent win occurred at UFC Fight Night 147 where he beat Gunnar Nelson via split decision. The twenty-seven-year-old holds wins over Donald Cerrone, Bryan Barberena and Vicente Luque to name a few. Saturday’s bout will be the twenty-first of his professional career. Of his seventeen victories, nine ended inside the distance.

The co-main takes place in the heavyweight division where Walt Harris goes up against Alexey Oleinik. Walt Harris will be looking to make it two wins in a row on Saturday night. His most recent fight was a victory over Sergey Spivak via first round TKO at UFC Fight Night 151. All twelve of his wins are via (T)KO. Harris will make the walk for the twenty-first time at the age of thirty-six on Saturday night.

Aleksei Oleinik is 2-1 over his last three. The loss came most recently at the hands of Alistair Overeem at UFC Fight Night 149 via first round TKO. The wins were against Junior Albini at UFC 224 and Mark Hunt at UFC Fight Night 136. Both victories came by way of submission. The forty-two-year-old makes the walk for the seventy-first time on Saturday night. Of the Russian born fighter’s fifty-seven career wins, an astonishing forty-five were via submission.

The third fight on the main card features another battle of heavyweights. Greg Hardy will try to make it two wins in a row when he faces off against Juan Adams. Hardy’s last fight was a victory over Dmitry Smoliakov via first round (T)KO at UFC Fight Night 150. This will be his sixth professional fight. Juan Adams began his pro MMA career by going 5-0 until he lost his most recent fight to Arjan Singh Bhullar at UFC Fight Night 151. This will be Adam’s seventh professional fight.

Also, on the main card James Vick will look to correct a two-fight skid when he faces off against Dan Hooker. Vick’s previous two losses were against Justin Gaethje at UFC Fight Night 135 and Paul Felder at UFC on ESPN 1. Dan Hooker was on a four-fight win streak until losing to Edson Barboza in brutal fashion in his last fight.

The six-fight main card rounds out with Alexander Hernandez taking on Francisco Trinaldo and long-time UFC veterans Andrei Arlovski vs. Ben Rothwell.

The UFC San Antonio prelims will air on ESPN beginning at 5:00 PM (CST) with the main card beginning at 8:00 PM (CST) also on ESPN.

Note: The predictions in this column do not necessarily mean that I will be betting them. I have changed my mind in the past and gone the other way after conducting more research. For all of my official bets follow me on Twitter @MichaelGrocke.

Main Card

Rafael dos Anjos (29-11) vs. Leon Edwards (17-3) – Welterweight 170 lbs.

Current Odds: Edwards -125; dos Anjos -105

Pick: dos Anjos by decision.

 

Aleksei Oleinik (57-12-1) vs. Walt Harris (12-7, 1 NC) – Heavyweight 265 lbs.

Current Odds: Harris-155; Oleinik +125

Pick: Harris by (T)KO.

 

Greg Hardy (4-1) vs. Juan Adams (5-1) – Heavyweight 265 lbs.

Current Odds: Hardy -120; Adams -110

Pick: Hardy by (T)KO.

 

James Vick (13-3) vs. Dan Hooker (17-8) – Lightweight 155 lbs.

Current Odds: Hooker -140; Vick +110

Pick: Hooker by decision.

 

Alexander Hernandez (10-2) vs. Francisco Trinaldo (23-6) – Lighweight 155 lbs.

Current Odds: Hernandez -230; Trinaldo +185

Pick: Hernandez by decision.

 

Andrei Arlovski (27-18, 2 NC) vs. Ben Rothwell (36-11) – Heavyweight 265 lbs.

Current Odds: Rothwell -185; Arlovski +155

Pick: Rothwell by (T)KO.

Prelims

Alex Caceres (14-12, 1 NC) vs. Steven Peterson (17-8) – Featherweight 145 lbs.

Current Odds: Caceres -120; Peterson -110

Pick: Peterson by decision.

 

Raquel Pennington (9-7) vs. Irene Aldana (10-4) – Bantamweight 135 lbs.

Current Odds: Aldana -145; Pennington +115

Pick: Pennington by decision.

 

Sam Alvey (33-12, 1 NC) vs. Klidson Abreu (14-3) – Light Heavyweight 205 lbs.

Current Odds: Abreu -165; Alvey +135

Pick: Alvey by (T)KO.

 

Roxanne Modafferi (23-15) vs. Jennifer Maia (16-5-1) – Flyweight 125 lbs.

Current Odds: Maia -135; Modafferi +105

Pick: Maia by decision.

 

Ray Borg (11-4) vs. Gabriel Silva (8-0) – Bantamweight 135 lbs.

Current Odds: Borg -215; Silva +175

Pick: Silva by decision.

 

Mario Bautista (6-1) vs. Jin Soo Son (9-3) – Bantamweight 135 lbs.

Current Odds: Son -190; Bautista +155

Pick: Son by decision.

 

Domingo Pilarte (8-1) vs. Felipe Colares (8-1) – Bantamweight 135 lbs.

Current Odds: Pilarte -360; Colares +280

Pick: Pilarte by (T)KO.

 Enjoy the fights!


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