UFC FIGHT NIGHT 126 PREDICTIONS 2/18: Grocke’s updated odds & predictions for every fight


The UFC makes a stop at the Frank Erwin Center in Austin, Texas for UFC Fight Night 126. The main event takes place in the welterweight division where Donald Cerrone takes on Yancy Medeiros in what should be an exciting bout.

After winning four straight, Cerrone limps into this fight the loser of his last three fights. While his decision loss to Robbie Lawler at UFC 214 was a close, competitive fight, the losses to Darren Till and Jorge Masvidal were one sided affairs. Yancy Medeiros on the other hand enters the fight riding a three-fight winning streak. All three wins were finishes. His most recent fight was a third round TKO of Alez Oliveira at UFC 218.

The co-main event features a battle of heavyweights when Derrick Lewis goes up against Marcin Tybura. Lewis suffered a TKO loss at the hands Mark Hunt at UFC Fight Night 110 his last time in the cage. It was a surprising outcome considering Lewis came into the fight riding a six-fight win streak. Poland’s own Marcin Tybura also dropped his last contest, losing to Fabricio Werdum by unanimous decision at UFC Fight Night 121.

The six-fight main card also includes fast rising James Vick against Francisco Trinaldo, Thiago Alves vs. Curtis Millender, Brandon Davis takes on Steven Peterson and Sage Northcutt goes up against Thibault Gouti.

The early prelims will air on Fight Pass starting at 5 PM CT, with Fox Sports 1 taking over at 6 PM CT for the prelims. Keep it on FS1 for the main card starting at 8 PM CT.

Here are the current odds and my predictions for each fight.

Note: The predictions in this column do not necessarily mean that I will be betting them. I have changed my mind in the past and gone the other way after conducting more research. For all of my official bets follow me on Twitter @FightChampBlog. You can also find all of my official MMA bets at betmmatips.com. For more information on my MMA bets go to thefightingchampion.com.


Main Card

Donald Cerrone (32-10, 1 NC) vs. Yancy Medeiros (15-4, 1 NC) – Welterweight 170 lbs.

Current Odds: Cerrone -115; Medeiros -115

Pick: Cerrone by Submission


Derrick Lewis (18-5, 1 NC) vs. Marcin Tybura (16-3) – Heavyweight 265 lbs.

Current Odds: Tybura -120; Lewis -110

Pick: Lewis by KO/TKO


James Vick (12-1) vs. Francisco Trinaldo (22-5) – Lightweight 155 lbs.

Current Odds: Vick -230; Trinaldo +180

Pick: Vick by Decision, but Trinaldo is a live dog and I wouldn’t be surprised to see an upset here.


Thiago Alves (27-11) vs. Curtis Millender (14-3) – Welterweight 170 lbs.

Current Odds: Alves -170; Millender +140

Pick: Alves by Decision


Steven Peterson (15-6) vs. Brandon Davis (8-3) – Featherweight 145 lbs.

Current Odds: Davis -210; Peterson +165

Pick: Davis by Decision


Sage Northcutt (9-2) vs. Thibault Gouti (11-3) – Lightweight 155 lbs.

Current Odds: Northcutt -330; Gouti +260

Pick: Northcutt by Submission



Jared Gordon (14-1) vs. Diego Ferreira (12-2) – Lightweight 155 lbs.

Current Odds: Gordaon -210; Ferreira +165

Pick: Gordon by Decision


Geoff Neal (8-2) vs. Brian Camozzi (7-4) – Welterweight 170 lbs.

Current Odds: Neal -210; Camozzi +165

Pick: Neal by KO/TKO


Roberto Sanchez (7-1) vs. Joby Sanchez (11-2) – Flyweight 125 lbs.

Current Odds: J. Sanchez -145; R Sanchez +115

Pick: J. Sanchez by Decision


Sarah Moras (5-3) vs. Lucie Pudilova (7-2) – Bantamweight 135 lbs.

Current Odds: Pudilova -140; Moras +110

Pick: Pudilova by Decision


Early Prelims

Joshua Burkman (29-16, 1 NC) vs. Alex Morono (13-4, 1 NC) – Welterweight 170 lbs.

Current Odds: Morono -335, Burkman +265

Pick: Morono by KO/TKO


Oskar Piechota (10-0-1) vs. Tim Williams (15-3) – Middleweight 185 lbs.

Current Odds: Piechota -320; Williams +250

Pick: Piechota by Submission


Enjoy the fights!

NOW CHECK OUT THIS ARTICLE: ROUNDTABLE: Who wins between Derrick Lewis and Marcin Tybura?

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